Застосування акселератору сталого розвитку у форсайті національного добробуту України

Abstract

The aim of the article is to substantiate the necessity of the national well-being foresight and to develop a methodological approach to its implementation using accelerators of sustainable development, improve sustainability accelerator tools and to adapt them to the conditions of long-term planning of the national welfare of Ukraine. Achieving well-being as the main objective of the foresight of the national well-being of Ukraine requires the establishment of domestic and adaptation of foreign methodological tools. The article consistently studies all the tools that make up a sustainable development accelerator: “Compass of sustainable development”, “Pyramid” and “Amoeba”, which were adapted and improved for using in Ukrainian practice. Consistent application of tools enables to achieve a comprehensive and harmonious development of the society with environment protection and restoration; innovative development of the economic system; overcoming inequality and the formation of the civil society institutions that create conditions for the effective exercise of freedoms and do not confront the norms of the society. The novelty of this research is the proposed innovative methodological approach to top-down and bottom-up foresight-forecasting on changes in the financial architectonics of the national well-being applying accelerator tools for sustainable development, which enables to improve the quality of forecasts on the perspectives of the development of systems with complex logic operations and hierarchical framework. It is done the author’s modification of the “Compass sustainable development” by creating a special space of well-being in four dimensions grouped by the following categories: nature, society, economy, personal identity. The construction of two oppositions “nature – economy” and “personality – society” makes it possible to assess the current state, to determine the impact of the above changes, in the balance between the interests of personality and society to achieve ecological balance in conditions of the economic development acceleration. The development of effective algorithms for the certain goals achievement is realized with the assistance of the "Pyramid" tool, which has been improvement by the author. The formation of the financial architectonics of national well-being is synchronized with the corresponding stages of the "Pyramid". Consistent application of initially top-down foresight allows top-down planning from the desired future to the real present to determine basic steps necessary to achieve the goal. There is a movement from the desired future to the present and participants of the foresight session represent the future in the present. At the stage of the bottom-up foresight there should be a consolidation of the society around the stages that lead to a specific goal. In the bottom-up foresight the main attention is focused on interaction and consolidation of ideas. The goal is to build an extensive network of carriers and implementers of the main idea of the foresight. The driving vector for the formation of a new future is built up.